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S/W if Employment Goals Achieved, not Birth Rates

Market for New Retail Space

(net added square feet means "supportable")

(this is not a measure of development activity, it is an estimate of potential)

RETAIL SALES

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Disposable Personal Income 78263 77183 76053 74948 73843 72806 71561 70502 69348 68266 67137 72806 73559 76005 77134 78428 80169 82121 88873 94283 101011 101529 101975 102587 103457 104163 104093 103928 103787 103763 103528 103152 103716 103810 103787 103810 103410 103058 102658 102281 101952
Annual Change in Disp. PI 78263 -1080 -1130 -1105 -1105 -1037 -1245 -1059 -1154 -1082 -1129 5669 753 2446 1129 1294 1741 1952 6752 5410 6728 518 446 612 870 706 -70 -165 -141 -24 -235 -376 564 94 -23 23 -400 -352 -400 -377 -329
Retail Sales 44375 42775 40901 40479 38849 38391 37398 35441 34542 33921 32810 34306 34404 35548 36076 36681 37495 38408 41566 44096 47243 47485 47694 47980 48387 48717 48684 48607 48541 48530 48420 48244 48508 48552 48541 48552 48365 48200 48013 47837 47683
Annual Change in Ret.Sls. 44375 -1600 -1874 -422 -1631 -458 -993 -1956 -899 -621 -1112 1496 97 1144 528 605 814 913 3158 2530 3147 242 209 286 407 330 -33 -77 -66 -11 -110 -176 264 44 -11 11 -187 -165 -187 -176 -154

CYCLICAL ADJUSTMENT

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Retail Sales (adjusted) 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 44375 47243 47485 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683 47683
Ann. Change Ret.Sls(adj) 44375                                       2868 242 198                                    

GFA REQUIRED

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Sales Per Square Foot 300 288 286 289 291 294 299 302 303 301 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
Gross Floor Area (GFA) 147980 153936 154935 153331 152440 150958 148321 146762 146508 147182 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 147917 157476 158284 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943 158943

VACANCY & DEMOLITION

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Demolition                                                                                  
Vacant GFA 7788 8102 8154 8070 8023 7945 7806 7724 7711 7746 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 7785 8288 8331 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365 8365
GFA including Vacancy 155769 162037 163089 161401 160463 158903 156127 154486 154219 154929 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 165764 166614 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309
Vacancy Rate (x1000) 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50

SPACE REQUIREMENT

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GFA 155769 162037 163089 161401 160463 158903 156127 154486 154219 154929 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 155702 165764 166614 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309 167309
Acres 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

ANNUAL MARKET CHANGE

  1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GFA 155769 6269 1052 -1688 -938 -1560 -2776 -1641 -267 710 773                   10062 850 694                                    
Acres 16 1                                     1                                        


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